Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.001109 0.001200 0.001296 0.001408 0.001532 0.001668 0.001827
2026-02-01 0.000945 0.001062 0.001193 0.001352 0.001542 0.001762 0.002039
2026-02-08 0.000843 0.000972 0.001122 0.001312 0.001549 0.001837 0.002221
2026-02-15 0.000778 0.000916 0.001081 0.001297 0.001576 0.001930 0.002426
2026-02-22 0.000717 0.000859 0.001032 0.001264 0.001574 0.001981 0.002574
2026-03-01 0.000659 0.000800 0.000976 0.001216 0.001544 0.001988 0.002659
2026-03-08 0.000622 0.000764 0.000945 0.001198 0.001552 0.002046 0.002818
2026-03-15 0.000587 0.000729 0.000913 0.001174 0.001548 0.002084 0.002950
2026-03-22 0.000541 0.000677 0.000855 0.001111 0.001483 0.002026 0.002925
2026-03-29 0.000513 0.000647 0.000825 0.001085 0.001469 0.002042 0.003018
2026-04-05 0.000502 0.000640 0.000826 0.001102 0.001520 0.002161 0.003292
2026-04-12 0.000485 0.000624 0.000812 0.001097 0.001537 0.002226 0.003480
2026-04-19 0.000522 0.000687 0.000917 0.001280 0.001868 0.002850 0.004802
2026-04-26 0.000488 0.000647 0.000872 0.001231 0.001824 0.002840 0.004927
2026-05-03 0.000461 0.000615 0.000837 0.001196 0.001800 0.002860 0.005114
2026-05-10 0.000442 0.000595 0.000817 0.001183 0.001811 0.002944 0.005453
2026-05-17 0.000420 0.000569 0.000789 0.001154 0.001792 0.002969 0.005665
2026-05-24 0.000397 0.000540 0.000753 0.001111 0.001744 0.002933 0.005731
2026-05-31 0.000381 0.000523 0.000735 0.001095 0.001744 0.002992 0.006035
2026-06-07 0.000366 0.000505 0.000714 0.001074 0.001732 0.003025 0.006281
2026-06-14 0.000343 0.000475 0.000674 0.001018 0.001651 0.002905 0.006109
2026-06-21 0.000329 0.000458 0.000653 0.000994 0.001630 0.002912 0.006280
2026-06-28 0.000325 0.000455 0.000655 0.001010 0.001685 0.003088 0.006953